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The majority of the USD pairs were fluctuating in yesterday’s trading as Asian traders at first drove the dollar higher on the back of the positive PPI surprise. This effect was however quite short-lived and the markets snapped back switching onto a wait and see mode ahead of the US inflation numbers. Azzal, hogy tovább olvassuk, egyetértünk a nyilatkozattevővel a jelentés végén, és elismerjük, hogy nem nyújtunk befektetési tanácsadást.

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A fő valuták várakozásban vannak, és látják a módot. Nincs jelentős lépés (a szokásos volatilitásukhoz viszonyítva) a londoni tegnap. Ez az USD írásakor a leggyengébb és a GBP a legerősebb pénznem. A referenciamutató US 10 yr. A kincsek 1,33% -ot hoztak pénteken a kereskedési nap végén. Előző: 1,35%

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Egyértelmű osztalékunk van az értékes fémek és az USOIL között. Ezek a leggyakrabban forgalmazott árucikkek piacai, és bár az arany mindig a kedvenc kereskedőknek meg kell vizsgálniuk más piacokat, mint platina és olaj, ők valódi mover. Az olaj az OPEC-projektből profitál, hogy a globális olajigény 2022-ben meghaladja a pandémiai szintet.

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The S&P 500 (0.23%), the DJIA (0.76%) and the Nasdaq (-0.07%) traded with mixed results yesterday. Look for increased volatility in these markets around the US CPI release.  Energy (2.87%) and financials (1.14%) were the strongest sectors with healthcare (-0.62%) losing the most. The strongest performers on our watchlist were SLB, HAL, EOG, COP and WFC. IDXX, DHR, NKE, PFE and ADBE lost the most. 

The above chart shows the % performance of each stock. Stocks are presented here with the S&P 500 tracking ETF (SPY, red line) to illustrate the performance of each stock relative to the benchmark index. This allows our readers to see the potential for intraday trading opportunities in these stocks. Often the sudden increase in volatility continues on the second day. You should, therefore, keep monitoring these stocks to see if they will satisfy your criteria for a trade. All % performance charts in this report are courtesy of Tradingview.com.

The US inflation data release later on today is the biggest event we have this week. For details on other important macroeconomic releases, see the TIOmarkets economic calendar itt.

EURUSDDaily 14 09

The majority of the USD pairs were fluctuating in yesterday’s trading as Asian traders at first drove the dollar higher on the back of the positive PPI surprise. This effect was however quite short-lived and the markets snapped back switching into a wait and see mode ahead of the US inflation numbers. Nothing much has changed for EURUSD in the technical sense and the same support and resistance levels remain relevant for EURUSD. The key levels and areas for today’s trading are 1.1663, 1.1770, 1.1851 and 1.1892 – 1.1908 (38.2% retracement level and a weekly resistance level) is likely to come into play. The next resistance area after this can be found at 1.1965 – 1.1975 (the 50% retracement level and a daily swing point).

USDCHFDaily 14 09

The only major USD pair with significant momentum yesterday was USDCHF. The move followed the comments made by a Swiss National Bank representative that negative rates are needed in order to keep the Swiss currency low. The USDCHF pair rallied 0.44%. USDCHF is building pressure against the 0.9242 and if the Fed stays hawkish we could see further upside in this market. The nearest key support area is the 0.9133 – 0.9165 range where we have a confluence zone (the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, rising trendline support and the moving averages). Other key support and resistance levels for USDCHF are 0.9018 and 0.9274.

SP500Daily 14 09

S&P 500 traded to a support level (4465.85) we identified on Friday and has been hovering around it S&P 500 fluctuated around the 4465.85 support level yesterday as the market participants wait for the CPI release. Today’s release should provide us with some nice volatility and trading opportunities in this market. The next support level below this is a confluence zone at (4412 – 4430) where the 23.6% retracement level and the channel low coincide. The latest high at 4550.50 is the ATH and thus a resistance level. If the US CPI number comes in at elevated levels the market could stay weak with traders betting that the Fed would start tapering quicker than earlier expected. However, the market is still in an uptrend before the rising trendline at 4412 is decisively broken.

Macro Drivers for the USD 
As the most followed, invested and traded markets for risky assets are priced in the USD it is helpful to understand what macroeconomic factors impact the other side of the equation, the USD. Whether we are trading EURUSD, XAUUSD or US equity CFDs the factors impacting the dollar, the nominator in the equation, have a significant role in the formation of all medium to long-term price action. The following table summarises the most important fundamentals.

A FEDFed Chair Powell said on Friday (August 27th) in Jackson Hole Symposium that tapering could begin in  2021 but also voiced concerns about the spread of delta variant.
StimulusThe US lawmakers have authorised approximately five trillion dollars of economic stimulus since the beginning of the pandemic. Now, US lawmakers have agreed to a  $1.2 trillion infrastructure spending plan. The Fed officials consider ending the asset purchases in the middle of 2022.
YieldsA legutóbbi pickupon kívül (2021 augusztusában kezdődött), a kincstári hozamok 2021 márciusa óta alacsonyabbak. Összességében a hozamok és a kamatok rendkívül alacsonyak mind a névleges, mind a valódi alapon.
FoglalkoztatásKét magasan pozitív foglalkoztatási jelentés (+938K és +943K) után az augusztusi szám (+235K) nagy csalódás volt, de valójában olyan szinten, amely a pandémdémia előtt az évek normája volt. Ez a szám késleltetheti a Fed szalagot, de valószínűleg nem fordítja vissza a döntésüket, hogy megérintse.
InflációThe month on month Core CPI (excluding food and energy) for July came in at 0.3% (0.4% expected) which indicated a big drop in the rate of inflation from the month before (0.9%). The Fed has earlier taken a view that inflation is transitory and will be therefore likely to fade away. Even though one data point doesn’t make a trend it seems that the Fed has been correct in their inflation projections. The lumber futures for instance are once again trading at October 2020 levels and down over 70% from their May highs. 

Nyissa meg a VIP-t Fekete fiók most www.TIOmarkets.com. We want you to be able to exploit trading opportunities in financial markets with 0 commission and tight spreads. Take advantage of the best trading account in the industry: Tiomarkets VIP Black. For more details on this truly exceptional offering see itt.

 The Next Main Risk Events

  • USD – US CPI m/m
  • USD – US Core CPI m/m
  • CNY – China Retail Sales y/y
  • GBP – UK CPI y/y
  • CAD – Canada CPI m/m
  • USD – Empire State Manufacturing Index
  • USD – Industrial Production m/m
  • USOIL – Crude Oil Inventories

For more information and details see the TIOmarkets economic calendar itt.

 Market News & Facts 

  • RBA Lowe: a kötvényvásárlások valószínűleg 2022-ben véget érnek
  • OPEC: A globális olajigény 2022-ben meghaladja a pandémiai szintet
  • Földgáz a többéves csúcsokon
  • Az amerikai szenátor Manchin nem szavazott a 3,5 trillió
  • SNB: A negatív arányok még mindig szükségesek a CHF alacsony tartásához
  • Kína kiadta néhány stratégiai olajkészletét
  • Az amerikai heti követelések 310K (344K várható)
  • Az EKB elhagyja az érintetlen árakat, de a csaposok egy kicsit
  • A BOC baloldaliak és a QE változatlanok
  • US JOLTS munkamegnyitása 10.934M (10.03M várható)
  • Fed’s Williams: appropriate to start taper in 2021
  • No chance expected from BOC today 
  • Japán GDP a Q2 +0,5% (+0,3% prelim).
  • Federal Reserve Beige Könyvet kell kiadni ma
  • RBA kept rates at 0.10% and cut but extended QE 
  • Ausztrál fogyasztói bizalom 100 (101.8 előzetes)
  • Német gyári megrendelések +3,4% (-1,0% várható)
  • Szaúd-Arábia olajárakat csökkent Ázsia számára
  • Új-Zéland ANZ Árindex -1,6% (14,4%)

Gyors linkek a legújabb elemzéshez

EURUSD, GBPUSD, SPX

EURUSD, AUDUSD

EURUSD, USDCAD, GOLD, BITCOIN, VIX

EURUSD, GOLD, USOIL

ROKU, AUDCAD, GBPAUD, GBPUSD

A fenti elemzési linkek segítségével új olvasók ellenőrizni a hatékonyságát elemzésünk. Míg az összes elemzési kiadvány időérzékeny, ők is segítenek a kereskedőknek, hogy megértsék, hogyan kell megtanulni a forex kereskedést, és hogyan kell hatékonyan elemezni a piacokat. A múltbeli cikkek olvasásával a kereskedők láthatják, hogyan lehet azonosítani a támogatási és az ellenállási szintet, vagy hogyan kell elkapni a nagy piaci lépéseket.

Quick links to our ‘How to’ articles

Hogyan lehet hatékonyan és alacsonyabb kockázattal kereskedni a tőzsdén?

Hogyan kereskedhet az RSI-vel?

Hogyan kereskedjünk a mozgó átlagokkal?

Hogyan keressünk kitöréseket?

A cikkeink segítenek különösen az új kereskedőknek, hogy megragadják az alapokat, és megtanítják nekik, hogyan kell használni a forex kereskedési eszközeit.

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Kereskedelmi biztonság!

Janne Muta
Chief Market Analyst
TIOmarkets.com

Nyissa meg a VIP-t Fekete fiók most www.TIOmarkets.com. We want you to be able to exploit trading opportunities in financial markets with 0 commission and tight spreads. Take advantage of the best trading account in the industry: Tiomarkets VIP Black. For more details on this truly exceptional offering see itt. További elemzés és kommentár, látogasson el a mi YouTube csatorna where you can find market commentary videos to support your learning and growth as a trader. 

DISCLAIMER TIOmarkets offers exclusively consultancy-free service. The views expressed in this blog are our opinions only and made available purely for educational and marketing purposes and do NOT constitute advice or investment recommendation (and should not be considered as such) and do not in any way constitute an invitation to acquire any financial instrument or product. TIOmarkets and its affiliates and consultants are not liable for any damages that may be caused by individual comments or statements by TIOmarkets analysis and assumes no liability with respect to the completeness and correctness of the content presented. The investor is solely responsible for the risk of his/her investment decisions. The analyzes and comments presented do not include any consideration of your personal investment objectives, financial circumstances or needs. The content has not been prepared in accordance with any legal requirements for financial analyzes and must, therefore, be viewed by the reader as marketing information. TIOmarkets prohibits duplication or publication without explicit approval. FX and CFDs are leveraged products. They are not suitable for every investor, as they carry a high risk of losing your capital. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved. All the prices in this report are CFD prices based on price charts provided by TIOmarkets unless otherwise stated. 

Legjobb pár a kereskedelem ma A legjobb részvények a kereskedelemhez most Legjobb alkalom a kereskedelemre Legjobb alkalom, hogy belépjen egy trad

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